Visualizations

CORRELATIVE GRAPHS (Blue)

OFFENSIVE POINTS SCORED PER GAME
Offensive Yards Gained Per Game
POINTS ALLOWED PER GAME
TURNOVERS FOrced PER SEASON

NON-CORRELATIVE GRAPHS (Black)

OPPONENT 3RD DOWN CONVERSION PERCENTAGE
OFFENSIVE 3RD DOWN CONVERSION PERCENTAGE
OFFENSIVE TIME OF POSSESSION
FIELD GOALS ATTEMPTED PER SEASON
PENATIES COMMITTED PER SEASON
OPPONENT YARDS GAINed PER GAME

(r) Value Table

The closer to 1 or -1 the r value is on each graph shows that the statistic has a higher correlation to games won than if it were closer to 0.

FINAL TAKEAWAYS

Overall, our findings suggest that offensive success is more correlative to wins than its defensive counterparts. We see this in points per game vs. opponent points per game, total yards per game vs. opponent total yards per game, and 3rd down conversion percentage vs. opponent 3rd down conversion percentage. For each of these, the offensive statistic is more correlative than the defensive statistic. Initially, our hypothesis was that defense matters more because of the saying “defense wins championships”. However, we actually find that offense wins games. Additionally, we find that Carleton football teams should be aggressive in the red zone. We found that the number of field goals attempted does not have a strong correlation with wins, but points per game has the strongest correlation. So, as teams get close to scoring, they should be aggressive and go for the touchdown! Lastly, we find that a fast paced offense wins games as there is a negative correlation with wins and time of possession, but a strong correlation between wins and plays per game.

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